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When the Lights Go Out in the City

Working from home is likely here to stay and commercial landlords are not collecting rent on the reduced office space retained by their tenants. The eviction moratorium is slowly destroying these owners, eventually leading to increased defaults of commercial loans. What will happen once the short -term forbearance period expires? Vacancies will rise and the sharks will circle the distressed real estate market as they did in the ’80s and ’90s. Unfortunately, the pain will not stop there. The lack of real estate taxes collected will likely bleed the city’s budgets. Delinquency rates will continue to soar, and values will plummet as this non-virtuous circle continues to spin. Private lenders and BDCs should fare well in this type of environment, along with warehouses, data centers, and self-storage.

Fiori Financial Group is not a registered broker/dealer and is Independent of Raymond James Financial Services. Investment advisory services offered through Raymond James Financial Services Advisors, Inc. Securities offered through Raymond James Financial Services, Inc., Member FINRA/SIPC. Any opinions are those of Fiori Financial Group and not necessarily those of RJFS. All investing involves risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Expressions of opinion are as of this date and are subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that these statements, opinions, or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct.